芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Everton has risen, somewhat surprisingly, to become a successful team under David Moyes, who was appointed as the club’s manager just over a year ago. Last season, he guided Everton to safety from the relegation battle, and this season Everton is even a potential candidate for European competition next season. Currently, the Toffees are in mid-table, but a three-point win over Leeds would put them just three points away from fourth place, which grants a spot in next season’s Champions League.

Everton’s current form shows no clear trend. In their last five matches, they have lost only one, but in their previous ten, they have won only four. In some ways, the team is on the positive side at the moment. Especially the recent 1–0 away win at Aston Villa was the result of very compact, disciplined play. Unluckily for Everton in the Leeds match, defender Michael Keane and midfield maestro Jack Grealish will be absent.

Leeds’ season can also be considered successful so far. The newly promoted side sits 16th in the table, five points above the relegation zone (+this match to be added). Leeds’ record in their last ten league games is 3–5–2, indicating good form. Most recently, they deservedly beat Fulham 1–0 at home (shots 14–8, xG 1.4–0.4). In an “underlying table” based on performance, Everton has 30 points and Leeds 32. Everton (32 points) has roughly earned what their performances deserve, whereas Leeds (25 points) has played better than their results suggest.

Leeds will miss defender Jaka Bijol due to injury and Daniel James, who has been out for a while in midfield. However, the important Anton Stach may make a quick return to the starting lineup as early as today.

The teams’ first encounter this season ended with a 1–0 home win for Leeds at the start of the season (shots 21–7, xG 2.1–0.8). Both teams are more reliant on home form than average (especially Leeds, whose away record is weak at 1–3–7, goals 11–24).

A difficult match to estimate! It does not look like a Leeds winning away, but the odds for a home win are short, especially in the absence of Grealish, and Leeds are hard to break. Their xPts is more than except of 3rd placed Aston Villa!

Leeds have 5 draws in their last 8 games, 4 of them low-scoring. This might be another one?


Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在大卫·莫耶斯(David Moyes)的领导下,埃弗顿(Everton)已经崛起为一支成功的球队,这多少有些令人惊讶。莫耶斯一年前刚刚被任命为俱乐部的主教练。上赛季,他带领埃弗顿安全保级,本赛季埃弗顿甚至是下赛季欧洲赛场的潜在候选人。目前,太妃糖排在积分榜的中游位置,但如果能拿下利兹联的三分,他们就只差三分就能获得第四名,从而获得下赛季的欧冠资格。

埃弗顿目前的状态没有明显的趋势。在最近的五场比赛中,他们只输了一场,但在之前的十场比赛中,他们只赢了四场。在某些方面,车队现在正处于积极的一面。尤其是最近客场1-0战胜阿斯顿维拉的比赛,这是一场紧凑而有纪律的比赛。不幸的是,埃弗顿在利兹的比赛中,后卫迈克尔·基恩和中场大师杰克·格里利什将缺席。

到目前为止,利兹的赛季也可以被认为是成功的。新升班马目前排名第16位,比降级区高出5分(加上本场比赛)。利兹联最近10场联赛的战绩是3胜5负,状态不错。最近,他们在主场1-0击败富勒姆(射门14-8,射门1.4-0.4)。在基于表现的“基础表”中,埃弗顿得到30分,利兹得到32分。埃弗顿(32分)的表现基本上是他们应得的,而利兹(25分)的表现要好于他们的结果。

利兹联将因伤缺阵后卫比约尔和中场缺阵一段时间的丹尼尔·詹姆斯。然而,重要的安东·斯塔奇可能会在今天尽快回到首发阵容。

两队本赛季的首次交锋以赛季初主场1-0战胜利兹而告终(射门21-7,xG 2.1-0.8)。两支球队都比平均水平更依赖主场状态(尤其是利兹联,他们的客场战绩很弱,1胜3负7负,进球数11胜24负)。

一场难以估计的比赛!这看起来不像是利兹能在客场获胜,但主场获胜的几率很低,尤其是在格里利什缺阵的情况下,利兹很难被打破。除了排名第三的阿斯顿维拉,他们的分数还多!

利兹联在最近8场比赛中有5场平局,其中4场比分很低。这可能是另一个?


好运!

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