Two teams with an urgent objective!
2026-01-28
分享比赛
Two teams with an urgent objective!
2026-01-28
分享比赛
解读理由
Both teams are still looking for their first win of the tournament, but the context of the match favors the home side. Newell’s arrive after a defeat against Talleres in Córdoba, but that game was also the debut of a completely new project. The duo Orsi–Gómez changed almost the whole squad compared to last season, with more than ten players leaving and many new signings arriving. Against Talleres, most of them played together for the first time, so the defeat was not a surprise. Even so, there were some positive moments and the feeling is that the team will improve quickly, especially now playing at home.
This will be the first match of the season for Newell’s in the Coloso Marcelo Bielsa, and that is important. They need to start building confidence with their fans and leave behind a very bad 2025. With players like Gabriel Arias in goal and Matías Cóccaro in attack, the team has more character and experience than before. The idea is to be stronger at home, reduce mistakes and take advantage of the local factor to get points while the project is still growing.
Independiente come from a draw against Estudiantes, a match where they started well but could not hold the advantage. They scored first, then conceded immediately in the second half and later suffered an expulsion that conditioned the game. For this match, they will again miss Santiago Montiel, their most dangerous and unbalancing player, which is a big problem for them in attack. His replacement will probably be Mazzantti or Malcorra, but neither gives the same threat.
Another important point is the history of this fixture in Rosario. Newell’s usually do well against Independiente at home. The last match between them in this stadium ended 2–1 for Newell’s, and Independiente have not won in the Coloso since 2021. In the last twelve meetings between both teams, there was only one draw, which shows that these games are normally decided by small details and home advantage matters.
Independiente are a team that wants to fight at the top, but they are still in a process and showed problems managing key moments in the first match. Newell’s, on the other hand, are under pressure to react after their defeat and will try to be more aggressive in front of their crowd. Even without Bruno Cabrera, who was sent off in the first match, they should be more comfortable playing in Rosario than in Córdoba.
I expect a tight and intense game, with both teams cautious because they do not want to lose again so early in the tournament. Newell’s will try to control the rhythm and use the emotional push of playing at home, while Independiente will look for moments through Cabral and Ávalos. In this context, Newell’s have good chances to at least take a point, and if they find an early goal, they could even take all three.
两支球队仍在寻求他们的第一场比赛胜利,但比赛的背景有利于主队。纽维尔的到来是在Córdoba输给塔列雷斯之后,但那场比赛也是他全新计划的首秀。与上赛季相比,这对搭档Orsi-Gómez几乎改变了整个阵容,十多名球员离开,许多新球员加盟。对塔列雷斯的比赛,他们中的大多数人都是第一次在一起比赛,所以失败并不令人意外。尽管如此,还是有一些积极的时刻,感觉球队会很快进步,尤其是现在在主场比赛。
这将是纽维尔本赛季在马塞洛-贝尔萨球场的首场比赛,这很重要。他们需要开始在球迷中建立信心,留下一个非常糟糕的2025年。有了像阿里亚斯这样的门将和Matías Cóccaro这样的攻击手,这支球队比以前更有个性和经验。我们的想法是在国内变得更强大,减少失误,利用当地因素在项目仍在发展的时候获得积分。
独立队战平大学生队,这场比赛他们开局不错,但没能保持优势。他们先进球,然后在下半场立即失球,后来又被驱逐出场,这是比赛的条件。在这场比赛中,他们将再次失去圣地亚哥·蒙蒂尔,这是他们最危险和最不平衡的球员,这对他们的进攻来说是一个大问题。他的继任者可能是马赞蒂或马尔科拉,但他们都不会带来同样的威胁。
另一个重要的一点是这场在罗萨里奥的比赛的历史。纽维尔队通常在主场对阵独立队时表现出色。他们在这个球场的最后一场比赛以纽维尔的2比1结束,而独立队自2021年以来就没有在科洛索获胜。在两队最近的12次交锋中,只有一次平局,这表明这些比赛通常是由小细节决定的,主场优势很重要。
独立队是一支想要争夺冠军的球队,但他们仍然处于一个过程中,并且在第一场比赛的关键时刻表现出了问题。另一方面,纽维尔队在失败后面临着压力,他们会在观众面前表现得更有侵略性。即使没有在第一场比赛中被罚下的卡布雷拉,他们在罗萨里奥的比赛应该比在Córdoba的比赛更舒服。
我期待着一场紧张激烈的比赛,两支球队都很谨慎,因为他们不想在这么早的比赛中再次输球。纽维尔将努力控制节奏,利用主场比赛的情感推动,而独立队将通过卡布拉尔和Ávalos寻找机会。在这种情况下,纽维尔有很好的机会至少拿一分,如果他们能早日进球,他们甚至可以拿到三分。