7th winner in a row?
2022-04-06
分享比赛
Vicenza vs Crotone
Vicenza host Crotone for this Serie B round 33 clash at Stadio Romeo Menti early Thursday morning Beijing time. Serie B is the 2nd highest level of Italian football and offers pretty good-quality entertainment for football fans. There are some skilled individuals too in this league, but overall the level is considerable lower than in Serie A but a lot higher than in Serie C.. On average it is a league with low goal expectancy. This match expected by to be a more scoring one than on average in this league, mainly because of the vulnerable defense both teams have. However, I see this as a more low-scoring match than the betting market. The main rationale is the fact that the stakes are extremely high here! Both teams are in a desperate fight against relegation. A loss would be close to a catastrophe for both teams. I expect a relatively defense and cautious match where avoiding mistakes is instrumental. The hosts are currently in the 18th place with 24 points. Crotone, on the hand, have just 20 points. A big disappointment for the club. The last 3 teams are relegated to Serie C for next season and the teams who place in the 16th and 17th place have a chance to save themselves in a play out later this spring.
The standings do not quite reflect the teams’ raw class here which offer us a lucrative betting opportunity. In my view Crotone are the better team and with the home advantage taken into account I do not really see a favorite in this match. This means that my fans and I have a 65-66% chance of winning the bet on Crotone with the +0.5 goals handicap option. It would be the 7th winner in a row! The visitors are also the bigger team by players’ total market value according to Transfermarkt.com and definitely have potential for better performances than we have seen so far this season. They have, in fact, already improved their defense in recent weeks. Crotone played a fine match 3 days ago against a dangerous team Perugia at home. Perugia are in the 9th place with 47 points. It was a 1-1 draw but Crotone could easily have won the match! They recorded much more goal attempts and attacks. With a similar performance they would probably not lose this match! Before this they fought well in Monza despite losing 0-1. It was a relatively balanced clash despite being very clear underdogs according to the betting market. On the 15th of March they defeated a good team Frosione at home 2-0. A fine performance indeed! Vicenza, on the other hand, were dominated in their most recent match. It was a 0-2 loss away from home but could easily have been an even more clear win for Brescia who recorded a whopping 23 goal attempts! Vicenza had just 5. Overall, I have not been at all convinced by Vicenza's performances for a long time.
